Research methodology
What must an investment idea prove?
A framework for separating a promising explanation from an investable result.
RESEARCH & PERSPECTIVES
Make the thinking visible.
Notes on evidence, investment systems and the discipline of evaluation. We publish methods and questions—not promises of performance.
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Evaluation
Four records. Four different questions.
Backtests, simulations, broker paper activity and live results need distinct reporting.
Methodology commentary for information only. Not investment advice, an offer, or a report of investment performance. Backtested, simulated and paper results do not establish future returns. Investing involves the risk of loss.